EXPLANATION OF THE ECONOMIC NEWS
- Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba) president Jens Weidmann is to speak. As president of the Bundesbank and a member of the ECB, which controls key short term interest rates, Weidmann has some influence over the EUR value. His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.
- The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voting member( March 2011 – today) James Bullard is to speak. FOMC members are responsible for setting the benchmark interest rate and their speeches are closely watched for indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy. His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.
- A survey done by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics to help measure job vacancies. It collects data from employers about their businesses’ employment, job openings, recruitment, hires and separations.
JOLTS defines Job Openings as all positions that are open (not filled) on the last business day of the month. A job is “open” only if it meets all three of the following conditions:
A specific position exists and there is work available for that position.
2. The job could start within 30 days, whether or not the establishment finds a suitable candidate during that time.
3. There is active recruiting for workers from outside the establishment location that has the opening.
A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
- The American Petroleum Institute reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.